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Home Prices Are Rising! And No, It's Not a New Housing Bubble Forming...

Tuesday, March 15, 2016   /   by June Quilantang

Home Prices Are Rising! And No, It's Not a New Housing Bubble Forming...

Yes, Home Prices Are Rising. No, a New Housing Bubble is NOT Forming | Keeping Current Matters

We recently reported that home prices are continuing to rise across most of the nation. This has created concern in some pundits that a housing bubble, like we saw ten years ago, is forming again. We want to explain why these concerns are unfounded. The current increase in home values can be easily explained by the theory of supply and demand. Right now, the number of families looking to purchase a home is greater than the supply of homes on the market. Here is a chart that explains how the months’ supply of housing inventory impacts home values:
 Yes, Home Prices Are Rising. No, a New Housing Bubble is NOT Forming | Keeping Current Matters

According to the latest Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors, there is currently a four-month supply of inventory. That puts us in the blue section of the above graphic. Home prices should be appreciating.

The difference in 2006…

A decade ago, the demand for housing was artificially boosted by lending standards that were far too lenient. Today, the strength of the demand for housing is legitimate, as lending standards are nowhere near what they were a decade ago. For proof of this, let’s look at a graph of the Mortgage Bankers’ Association’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index:
 Yes, Home Prices Are Rising. No, a New Housing Bubble is NOT Forming | Keeping Current Matters

The higher the number, the easier it was to get a mortgage. We can see that from June 2005 to June 2007, mortgage standards were much more lenient than they have been over the last nine years.

Bottom Line

Today’s price increases, unlike those a decade ago, are the result of qualified buyer demand exceeding the current inventory of homes available for sale. Once the supply increases, prices will level out.




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The data relating to real estate for sale or lease on this web site comes in part from One Key, Inc. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Rummy Dhanoa - eXp Realty - New York Real Estate Experts are marked with the One Key, Inc logo or an abbreviated logo and detailed information about them includes the name of the listing broker.

The information appearing herein has not been verified by One Key, Inc or by any individual(s) who may be affiliated with said entities, all of whom hereby collectively and severally disclaim any and all responsibility for the accuracy of the information appearing at this web site, at any time or from time to time. All such information should be independently verified by the recipient of such data. This data is not warranted for any purpose.

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